📝 usncan Note: Buy or Sell Amcor Stock Ahead of Earnings?
Disclaimer: This content has been prepared based on currently trending topics to increase your awareness.
UKRAINE – 2021/07/22: In this photo illustration an Amcor logo is seen on a smartphone and a pc screen. (Photo Illustration by Pavlo Gonchar/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
Amcor (NYSE:AMCR), the global packaging firm, is scheduled to announce its earnings on Thursday, August 14, 2025. The company has a current market capitalization of $22 billion. Over the last twelve months, it generated $13 billion in revenue and was operationally profitable, with $1.4 billion in operating profits and net income of $807 million. While much will rely on how the results compare to consensus expectations, gaining insight from historical trends may give event-driven traders an advantage.
There are two strategies to achieve this: familiarize yourself with the historical probabilities and prepare in advance of the earnings announcement, or analyze the link between immediate and medium-term returns following earnings and adjust your position accordingly after the earnings have been disclosed. If you are looking for potential gains with less volatility than that of individual stocks, Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative—having outperformed the S&P 500 and produced returns exceeding 91% since its inception.
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Amcor’s Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return
Here are some insights on one-day (1D) returns post-earnings:
- There are 20 earnings data points recorded over the past five years, showing 9 positive and 11 negative one-day (1D) returns. In total, positive 1D returns were observed approximately 45% of the time.
- However, this percentage reduces to 33% when analyzing data from the last 3 years instead of 5.
- The median of the 9 positive returns = 1.8%, while the median of the 11 negative returns = -2.2%
Further information regarding observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns subsequent to earnings is summarized along with the relevant statistics in the table below.
AMCR 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return
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Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns
A relatively lower-risk approach (though not effective if the correlation is weak) is to assess the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings, identify a pair with the strongest correlation, and initiate the appropriate trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D exhibit the highest correlation, a trader can position themselves “long” for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Below is some correlation data based on a 5-year and a more recent 3-year history. Keep in mind that the correlation 1D_5D pertains to the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns.
AMCR Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns
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Find out more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (composed of the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000) to deliver significant returns for investors. Additionally, if you’re looking for potential gains with a smoother experience than an individual stock like Amcor, contemplate the High Quality portfolio, which has surpassed the S&P and achieved >91% returns since its inception.
