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What The Numbers Say And What They Don’t Yet Show

📝 usncan Note: What The Numbers Say And What They Don’t Yet Show

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One of the most repeated promises in the technology world over the last three years is that AI will deliver measurable value to businesses. Yet the reality has often fallen short. A McKinsey Global Survey from late 2023 found less than one-third of companies reported significant financial benefits from AI adoption, despite rising levels of investment. For many enterprises, pilots looked impressive in demos but never made it into production.

The space between promise and proof has become a major source of dissatisfaction. And, in fact, MIT recently said that less than 5% of generative AI pilots lead to significant revenue growth. This shows how often excitement about new capabilities runs into operational difficulties.

Against that backdrop, companies like SymphonyAI are arguing that the answer isn’t generic AI at all. Instead, they say the real economic gains are emerging from “vertical AI” — industry-specific systems tuned to the workflows, data and compliance needs of sectors like retail, financial services, industrial manufacturing and enterprise IT.

A new SymphonyAI report on the economic potential of vertical AI highlights ROI gains that, if sustained at scale, could mark a shift in how enterprises think about AI adoption.

Moving Past Pilot Into Production

SymphonyAI’s report, which is a cross-industry analysis of modeled business value based on operational outcomes from over 80 real-world deployments, cites figures like a $200 million profit uplift in the retail industry and a 77% reduction in false positives for companies in the financial services sector as proof of how AI is already delivering measurable impact in the enterprise.

While, of course, the conversations about AI ROI continue to rage, Sanjay Dhawan, CEO of SymphonyAI, is unequivocal about the notion that AI is already producing measurable gains in operational performance across the enterprises, buoyed by the company’s new data-backed research.

“The $200 million profit uplift in retail and 77% reduction in false positives are audited, customer-validated outcomes measured in live production. These aren’t projections — they were tracked jointly with customers against agreed KPIs such as sales uplift, inventory accuracy, and false-positive rates,” Dhawan explained when I questioned the report’s methodology.

Dhawan noted that while outcomes do vary, the numbers are not isolated wins. “Those anchor numbers come from individual deployments, but they align with a much broader pattern. For example, in retail, we’ve built a benchmark database of over 1,500 data points across U.S. and European customers, allowing us to contextualize each case, adjust for maturity and company size, and model scaling across peers.”

That effort to emphasize consistency matters, because much of the skepticism around AI ROI comes from survivorship bias: Vendors promote their strongest case studies while ignoring the failures. However, SymphonyAI’s report argues that by focusing on a narrow set of repeatable use cases — such as promotion optimization in retail or false-positive reduction in financial services — enterprises can move past pilot fatigue and into production at speed.

Why Enterprises Lag And Why Some Pull Ahead

Of course, not every deployment produces headline ROI. Dhawan admitted that adoption varies but argued the difference is organizational, not technical. “Our experience looks very different from the industry story that reports a 95% failure rate for generative AI pilots, according to MIT.” The vast majority of our deployments scale and deliver ROI within months — because they aren’t experiments. They’re pre-packaged, vertical solutions built around proven use cases,” he said.

Where results lagged, he pointed to maturity gaps: “The difference between top performers and laggards comes down to three factors: operational maturity, a focus on a clear set of use cases and measurable outcomes. Enterprises that had clarity and alignment across these three areas saw the strongest, fastest returns.”

That framing echoes a broader industry view. Bessemer Venture Partners, which has backed multiple AI startups, noted in its “The future of AI is vertical” report from September 2024 that vertical AI companies are growing at 400% annually with 65% gross margins — far higher than traditional SaaS. The venture capital firm argued that these companies succeed because they “capture 25–50% of an employee’s value” compared to just 1–5% for generic platforms.

ROI In Weeks — But Can It Last?

One of SymphonyAI’s bolder claims is that ROI shows up in weeks, not years. That contrasts with horizontal platforms, where customization can drag on for 12–24 months. “With horizontal approaches, ROI can take 12–24 months of customization — and many projects never scale. With vertical AI, enterprises see measurable ROI in weeks and repeatable outcomes across industries,” Dhawan said.

But is that early surge sustainable? Dhawan believes it is. “When we talk about ROI in weeks, we mean the initial phase of value realization. A typical rollout might start with a few use cases on a single line in a plant. That alone can deliver measurable ROI within weeks. But the returns don’t plateau — they compound. Once the first use cases are proven, enterprises expand: from one line to an entire plant, and often to dozens of plants or multiple business units.”

Virtasant, a cloud consultancy, offers a parallel view. It has documented cases where vertical AI solutions outperformed traditional tools by as much as 4X, achieving 95% accuracy and over $2 million in annual savings. These examples reinforce the idea that production value can grow as deployments scale, though critics caution that integration and governance costs often reappear later in the cycle.

Vertical AI Vs. Horizontal AI

One of the sharper debates is whether vertical AI will replace horizontal platforms altogether. But Dhawan doesn’t agree with such framing. “Vertical AI isn’t about replacing general-purpose platforms; it’s about coexisting with them to make them more effective. For enterprises already invested in horizontal platforms, there are two options. One is to keep experimenting and developing on top of that foundation, which often takes years and significant additional budget before meaningful ROI appears. The other is to bring in a pre-built vertical AI solution targeted to a specific use case. That path delivers measurable business impact in as little as a few weeks — and the two approaches can run side by side.”

That coexistence strategy — horizontal as foundation, vertical as activation layer — may prove appealing to CIOs already committed to cloud ecosystems from hyperscalers like Microsoft, Google, or AWS. In Dhawan’s words, “What makes Vertical AI different is that it comes with the models and agents that already understand enterprise business processes, vertical-specific use cases, and the context in which data lives.”

The framing is similar to a broader trend that analysts are watching. For example, Bessemer Venture Partners has argued that vertical AI enables access to niche workflows that were previously hard to automate or commercialize, significantly increasing ROI opportunities. For large enterprises, the choice isn’t so much about replacing things as it is about layering, where specialized tools add to larger platforms instead of replacing them completely.

Beyond The Marketing Claims

The data SymphonyAI presents is eye-catching — $200M in retail profit uplift, 77% fewer false positives in financial services, 35% asset utilization gains in manufacturing. And Dhawan makes a persuasive case that these outcomes are not edge cases but repeatable, audited results. But the real question for enterprises is whether those numbers can be replicated across the messy realities of integration, governance and global scaling.

The broader market context shows both promise and caution. On one hand, investors like Bessemer Venture Partners are pouring capital into vertical AI and firms like Virtasant are documenting real-world ROI. On the other, MIT’s finding that fewer than 5% of generative AI pilots deliver measurable revenue impact is a sobering reminder of how easily AI projects can stumble.

For now, the vertical AI bet, although incredibly promising, remains just that — a bet. The numbers may be strong, but the real test will be whether enterprises can take those audited case studies and translate them into sustainable, system-wide economic gains.

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